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The role of the IDEMV in predicting European stock market volatility during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Identifieur interne : 000390 ( Main/Exploration ); précédent : 000389; suivant : 000391

The role of the IDEMV in predicting European stock market volatility during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Auteurs : Yan Li [République populaire de Chine] ; Chao Liang [République populaire de Chine] ; Feng Ma [République populaire de Chine] ; Jiqian Wang [République populaire de Chine]

Source :

RBID : pubmed:32908465

Abstract

The main purpose of this paper is to investigate whether the Infectious Disease EMV tracker (IDEMV) proposed by Baker et al. (2020) has additional predictive ability for European stock market volatility during the COVID-19 pandemic. The three European stock markets we consider are France, UK and Germany. Our investigation is based on the HAR and its augmented models. We find that the IDEMV has stronger predictive power for the France and UK stock markets volatilities during the global pandemic, and the VIX has also superior predictive ability for the three European stock markets during this period.

DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2020.101749
PubMed: 32908465
PubMed Central: PMC7467939


Affiliations:


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